Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.804611e-05 0.000045 0.000053 0.000062 0.000072 0.000083 0.000096
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.828671e-05 0.000037 0.000048 0.000060 0.000075 0.000091 0.000111
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.199122e-05 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000076 0.000097 0.000123
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.812495e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000058 0.000080 0.000105 0.000137
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.466387e-05 0.000025 0.000038 0.000057 0.000081 0.000110 0.000148
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.199205e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000056 0.000082 0.000115 0.000158
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.715534e-06 0.000019 0.000033 0.000054 0.000083 0.000119 0.000167
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.645763e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000082 0.000121 0.000174
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.841008e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000121 0.000178
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.606996e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000048 0.000080 0.000123 0.000184
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.277994e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000050 0.000085 0.000133 0.000201
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.513118e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000049 0.000086 0.000137 0.000210
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.692987e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000049 0.000089 0.000145 0.000225
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.840316e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000047 0.000088 0.000148 0.000235
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.245205e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000089 0.000152 0.000246
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.017325e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000045 0.000091 0.000159 0.000261
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.891950e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000044 0.000091 0.000163 0.000272
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.736878e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000043 0.000092 0.000168 0.000284
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.159648e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000042 0.000092 0.000171 0.000294
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.031009e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000091 0.000173 0.000301
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.671346e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000038 0.000089 0.000173 0.000306
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.121334e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000089 0.000175 0.000314
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 7.390206e-09 0.000002 0.000011 0.000038 0.000094 0.000187 0.000337